Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?
Josh McLaurin: 65%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Australia's Parliament pass the EU free trade deal?
No: 57%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 4 nov 2027
Missouri 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory
Neal, 12+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Mongolian Democratic Party presidential nomination winner?
Norovyn Altankhuyag: 24%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 may 2028
Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?
Chris Deluzio: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 16 feb 2028
Bremen state election winner?
CDU: 39%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 29 may 2028
How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?
Above 41,000: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Will the U.S. commit $15 billion to Sunnyside Yard?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 21%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?
Manitoba: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Will Georgia officially switch to permanent daylight saving time?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Mongolian presidential election winner?
Gombojavyn Zandanshatar: 46%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 29 jun 2028
Mexican Chamber of Deputies election winner?
Morena: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 29 jun 2028
Will any UN country change its capital before 2028?
No: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Michigan 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 300K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois's 6th District margin of victory
Casten, 5+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?
Proposition C: 77%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Washington 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Congressional salaries increase?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 46%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Yes: 84%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Who will run for president in 2028?
Andrew Yang: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
California 36 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Valladolid municipal election winner?
PP: 67%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
PP and Vox majority in the Valencian Corts?
Yes: 70%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Seville municipal election winner?
PP: 79%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
No: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?
Yes: 58%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
Minnesota Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 2M: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
People's Party majority in the City Council of Madrid?
Yes: 62%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Madrid municipal election winner?
PP: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
PSOE majority in the Cortes of Castilla-La Mancha?
No: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Canary Islands regional election winner?
PSOE: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?
Yes: 76%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 21%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Will Chile and Bolivia restore ambassador-level relations?
Before 2028: 26%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
California 20 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Asturias regional election winner?
PP: 49%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 21%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Minnesota 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Minnesota 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Next Kathmandu mayoral election winner?
RSP: 40%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 12 may 2028
Micronesian presidential election winner?
Wesley Simina: 30%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 2 mar 2028
Tucumán Governor winner?
PJ: 74%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 may 2028
Tirana mayoral election winner?
Socialist Party: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 may 2028
Andorran parliamentary election winner?
Concòrdia: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 may 2028
Madrid regional election: 2nd place
PSOE: 69%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028