Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Andorran parliamentary election winner?
Concòrdia: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 may 2028
Madrid regional election: 2nd place
PSOE: 69%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Will Nashville commercial property tax relief become law?
Yes: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jun 2027
New Jersey 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Middlesbrough mayoral election winner?
Reform UK: 37%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 may 2028
Liverpool City Council election winner?
Labour Party: 74%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 may 2028
English Local Elections winner?
Reform UK: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 may 2028
City of Edinburgh Council election winner?
SNP: 33%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 may 2028
Bedford mayoral election winner?
Liberal Democrats: 34%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 may 2028
Next Senate Democratic Leader?
Chuck Schumer: 82%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2028
Brantford-Brant South by-election winner?
Conservative: 62%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 2 may 2028
California 50 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California's 44th District margin of victory
Barragán, 40+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 320K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 290K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Arizona 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Arizona 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 80K: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 330K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Maine Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 460K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Maryland 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Bola Tinubu: 20%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2035
Pennsylvania's 15th District margin of victory
Thompson, 23+ pts: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania's 9th District margin of victory
Meuser, 20+ pts: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 35%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
California's 24th District margin of victory
Carbajal, 17+ pts: 82%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Meta ordered to pay $10 billion or more in child safety case?
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
When will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados?
Before Jun 1, 2027: 52%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jun 2027
New York's 9th District margin of victory
Clarke, 38+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York's 4th District margin of victory
Gillen, 3+ pts: 86%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York's 3rd District margin of victory
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?
Above 86,000: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Ghana parliamentary election winner?
NDC: 61%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 dic 2029
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
Illinois: 81%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028?
No: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 14 nov 2028
2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
R+0.9 to D+0.9: 29%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Danielle Smith announces departure as Alberta UCP leader?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 45%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?
Above 4,000: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 sept 2027
Utah 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kansas's 1st District margin of victory
Mann, 16+ pts: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
Aderholt, 45+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas 35 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 141K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas 34 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 137K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Next German federal election winner?
AfD: 82%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 25 mar 2030
Yorkton-Melville by-election winner?
Conservative Party: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 18 abr 2028