Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Ilhan Omar: 46%
Vol. 24h $15.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
New Jersey Senate winner?
Cory Booker: 97%
Vol. 24h $15K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
KY-06 House winner?
Ralph Alvarado: 59%
Vol. 24h $14.8K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Tennessee Senate winner?
Bill Hagerty: 96%
Vol. 24h $14.6K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida Governor margin of victory
Donalds, 1+ pts: 79%
Vol. 24h $14.4K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Wisconsin Governor winner?
David Crowley: 80%
Vol. 24h $14.1K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Oklahoma Governor winner?
Mike Mazzei: 90%
Vol. 24h $13.2K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Red wave in 2026?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $12.9K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Ric Grenell: 73%
Vol. 24h $12.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NY-02 House winner?
Andrew Garbarino: 83%
Vol. 24h $12.6K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
PA-08 House winner?
Paige Cognetti: 81%
Vol. 24h $12.4K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Minnesota Senate margin of victory
Flanagan, 1+ pts: 82%
Vol. 24h $12.3K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
North Carolina Senate margin of victory
Cooper, 1+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $12K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Christopher Luxon: 46%
Vol. 24h $11.9K · Cierra 2 ene 2027
MN-01 House winner?
Brad Finstad: 67%
Vol. 24h $11K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
CA-13 House winner?
Adam Gray: 91%
Vol. 24h $10.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
OH-10 House winner?
Mike Turner: 63%
Vol. 24h $10.3K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will France declare a state of emergency?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 23%
Vol. 24h $9.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/18 - 10/24)
Above 0: 99%
Vol. 24h $9.8K · Cierra 7 nov 2026
Oregon Governor winner?
Tina Kotek: 82%
Vol. 24h $9.8K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $9.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
2028 Democratic VP nominee
Elissa Slotkin: 10%
Vol. 24h $9.1K · Cierra 7 nov 2028
AL-02 House winner?
Rhett Marques: 73%
Vol. 24h $9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Maine Senate margin of victory
Jackson, 1+ pts: 55%
Vol. 24h $9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will Russian diesel be imported into the U.S.?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 77%
Vol. 24h $9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Ohio Governor margin of victory
Acton, 1+ pts: 77%
Vol. 24h $8.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Montana Senate winner?
Kurt Alme: 92%
Vol. 24h $8.8K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
NC-07 House winner?
David Rouzer: 78%
Vol. 24h $8.7K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
PA-01 House winner?
Brian Fitzpatrick: 63%
Vol. 24h $8.4K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio Governor-Senate combo
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win: 65%
Vol. 24h $8.2K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
Texas: 31%
Vol. 24h $8.2K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
TX-35 House winner?
Johnny C. Garcia: 66%
Vol. 24h $7.5K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Pete Hegseth: 33%
Vol. 24h $7.4K · Cierra 20 ene 2029
FL-26 House winner?
Mario Díaz-Balart: 80%
Vol. 24h $7.4K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
At least 182: 88%
Vol. 24h $7.1K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Alabama Governor winner?
Tommy Tuberville: 94%
Vol. 24h $6.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
Yes: 92%
Vol. 24h $6.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NC-03 House winner?
Greg Murphy: 79%
Vol. 24h $6.8K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
At least 19: 99%
Vol. 24h $6.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
NY-11 House winner?
Nicole Malliotakis: 91%
Vol. 24h $6.6K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio Senate margin of victory
Brown, 2+ pts: 61%
Vol. 24h $6.5K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?
Democratic sweep: 52%
Vol. 24h $6.4K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Oklahoma Attorney General winner?
Jon Echols: 94%
Vol. 24h $6.3K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
FL-22 House winner?
Pia Dandiya: 61%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
FL-21 House winner?
Brian Mast: 87%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
OH-09 House winner?
Marcy Kaptur: 76%
Vol. 24h $6.1K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win: 86%
Vol. 24h $6K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
Mary Peltola: 74%
Vol. 24h $5.7K · Cierra 3 nov 2027