Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Who will the next Pope be?
Luis Antonio Tagle: 15%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2070
Florida Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 5.80M: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 28 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 197K: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 26 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 19 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 13 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
No other person: 56%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Next Prince Edward Island general election winner?
Green Party: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 oct 2028
Will anyone win the Vermont Governor election outright?
Yes: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Wyoming at large House General Election: voter turnout
Above 145K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
No: 86%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 4 nov 2028
Will SCOTUS hold that EAJA covers immigration-detention habeas actions?
Yes: 66%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
Will SCOTUS require 12-person juries for serious felonies?
Yes: 73%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?
Yes: 76%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
Prime Minister of Greece after the next election?
Kyriakos Mitsotakis: 73%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 25 jul 2028
Delaware at large House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Connecticut Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.00M: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Connecticut 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Connecticut 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Connecticut 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 2M: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
South Carolina 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many Attorneys General will Trump have?
2: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Pennsylvania 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio 14 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 270K: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio 13 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Indiana's 3rd District margin of victory
Stutzman, 8+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Idaho Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
New York 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 105K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Wisconsin 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Wisconsin 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 300K: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 270K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Washington 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Nebraska 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 32%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030