Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Illinois 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York's 9th District margin of victory
Clarke, 38+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
Rahm Emanuel: 35%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 nov 2028
Ghana parliamentary election winner?
NDC: 61%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 dic 2029
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
Illinois: 81%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028?
No: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 14 nov 2028
Danielle Smith announces departure as Alberta UCP leader?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 45%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?
Above 4,000: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 sept 2027
Utah 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Idaho Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 470K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Next German federal election winner?
AfD: 82%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 25 mar 2030
Texas 35 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 141K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Andrew Oldham: 13%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 21 ene 2029
Idaho 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ghana presidential election winner?
Asiedu Nketia: 33%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2029
North Carolina 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 130K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 270K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 280K: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Philippine presidential election winner?
Sara Duterte: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 may 2029
Schleswig-Holstein state election winner?
CDU: 59%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 18 abr 2028
Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
No: 86%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 8 sept 2028
Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?
Yes: 60%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
Will SCOTUS bar the immediate NEPA challenge to the Air Force’s Guam hazardous-waste permit application?
Yes: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
Hawaii 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
Before Oct 1, 2027: 75%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 oct 2027
When will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy?
Before Oct 1, 2027: 22%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 oct 2027
Georgia 14 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 13 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?
Yes: 70%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Georgia 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
Before Jan 1, 2031: 75%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2031
When will the debt limit be increased?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
DC Circuit rules for AP on Oval Office access before 2028?
No: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Pennsylvania 17 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?
Before Oct 1, 2027: 59%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 oct 2027
Georgia 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 5.80M: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027