Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Micronesian presidential election winner?
Wesley Simina: 30%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 2 mar 2028
Tucumán Governor winner?
PJ: 74%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 may 2028
Tirana mayoral election winner?
Socialist Party: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 may 2028
Andorran parliamentary election winner?
Concòrdia: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 may 2028
Madrid regional election: 2nd place
PSOE: 69%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Will Nashville commercial property tax relief become law?
Yes: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jun 2027
Navarre regional election winner?
UPN: 82%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Middlesbrough mayoral election winner?
Reform UK: 37%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 may 2028
Liverpool City Council election winner?
Labour Party: 74%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 may 2028
English Local Elections winner?
Reform UK: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 may 2028
City of Edinburgh Council election winner?
SNP: 33%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 may 2028
Bedford mayoral election winner?
Liberal Democrats: 34%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 may 2028
Barcelona municipal election winner?
PSC: 72%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Brantford-Brant South by-election winner?
Conservative: 62%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 2 may 2028
Meta ordered to pay $10 billion or more in child safety case?
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
When will Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia?
Before Jun 1, 2027: 65%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jun 2027
When will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados?
Before Jun 1, 2027: 52%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jun 2027
What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?
Above 86,000: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 mar 2027
2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
R+0.9 to D+0.9: 29%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Yorkton-Melville by-election winner?
Conservative Party: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 18 abr 2028
Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee?
Rocky Adkins: 70%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 17 may 2028
East Timor presidential election winner?
José Ramos-Horta: 22%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 29 feb 2028
Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie by-election winner?
Liberal: 53%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 12 abr 2028
Sapporo mayoral election winner?
Yu Arai: 43%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 10 abr 2028
Kanagawa gubernatorial election winner?
Yuji Kuroiwa: 42%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 10 abr 2028
Hokkaido gubernatorial election winner?
Naomichi Suzuki: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 10 abr 2028
Gambian parliamentary election winner?
NPP: 57%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 10 abr 2028
How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?
Above 110,000: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 feb 2027
Illinois's 8th District margin of victory
Bean, 3+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Travis County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 74%: 81%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Genesee County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 48%: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Illinois regulate data center energy and water use?
Yes: 71%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 may 2027
What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?
At least 8 mph: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?
Above 97: 75%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 32%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 18 abr 2028
Finnish general election winner?
Social Democratic Party: 77%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 29 abr 2028
Scarborough North by-election winner?
Liberal Party: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 28 mar 2028
Adelaide Lord Mayor election winner?
Jane Lomax-Smith: 35%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 abr 2028
Taiwan Legislative Yuan by-elections winner?
Democratic Progressive Party: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 24 mar 2028
Who will win the next Uttarakhand Assembly election?
BJP: 73%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 21 mar 2028
Vilnius mayoral election winner?
Valdas Benkunskas: 61%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 mar 2028
Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory
Scott, 29+ pts: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California's 37th District margin of victory
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 5+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
In what year will the next UK general election be held?
2029: 46%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Texas's 38th District margin of victory
Bonck, 2+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Trump impose capital controls?
No: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Wyoming Senate margin of victory
Hageman, 26+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia's 1st District margin of victory
Taylor, 1+ pts: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027