Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Colorado's 2nd District margin of victory
Neguse, 34+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 16%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Will an Atlantic Shores offshore wind lease be terminated?
No: 59%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Papua New Guinean parliamentary election winner?
Pangu: 66%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 jul 2028
Will Maine approve contracts for the northern Maine wind and transmission project?
Yes: 52%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Verona mayoral election winner?
Center-right: 56%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 12 jun 2028
Turin mayoral election winner?
Center-left: 74%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 12 jun 2028
Will Australia's Parliament pass the EU free trade deal?
No: 52%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Mongolian Democratic Party presidential nomination winner?
Norovyn Altankhuyag: 24%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 may 2028
Will another state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Sébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Will Lai Ching-te visit the United States?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 29%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Will Iceland ban commercial whaling?
No: 63%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Will the EU apply its blocking statute to U.S. sanctions on the ICC?
No: 75%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Will EPA publish a final interim SGAR decision before July 2027?
Yes: 51%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Mexican Chamber of Deputies election winner?
Morena: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 29 jun 2028
Colorado's 3rd District margin of victory
Romero, 1+ pts: 23%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Valladolid municipal election winner?
PP: 67%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
PP and Vox majority in the Valencian Corts?
Yes: 70%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Seville municipal election winner?
PP: 79%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
People's Party majority in the City Council of Madrid?
Yes: 62%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
PSOE majority in the Cortes of Castilla-La Mancha?
No: 54%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Canary Islands regional election winner?
PSOE: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?
BJP-led NDA: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 21 may 2028
Next Kathmandu mayoral election winner?
RSP: 40%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 12 may 2028
Colorado's 3rd District margin of victory
Hurd, 1+ pts: 69%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Asturias regional election winner?
PP: 49%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
People's Party majority in the Assembly of Madrid?
Yes: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Tucumán Governor winner?
PJ: 74%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 may 2028
Tirana mayoral election winner?
Socialist Party: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 may 2028
Andorran parliamentary election winner?
Concòrdia: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 9 may 2028
Madrid regional election: 2nd place
PSOE: 69%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Will Nashville commercial property tax relief become law?
Yes: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jun 2027
Middlesbrough mayoral election winner?
Reform UK: 37%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 may 2028
Liverpool City Council election winner?
Labour Party: 74%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 may 2028
English Local Elections winner?
Reform UK: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 may 2028
City of Edinburgh Council election winner?
SNP: 33%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 may 2028
Bedford mayoral election winner?
Liberal Democrats: 34%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 may 2028
Brantford-Brant South by-election winner?
Conservative: 62%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 2 may 2028
Colorado's 4th District margin of victory
Laubacher, 7+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado's 4th District margin of victory
Boebert, 2+ pts: 59%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Meta ordered to pay $10 billion or more in child safety case?
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
When will Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia?
Before Jun 1, 2027: 65%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jun 2027
Barcelona municipal election winner?
PSC: 72%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
When will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados?
Before Jun 1, 2027: 52%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jun 2027
What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?
Above 86,000: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Colorado's 5th District margin of victory
Killin, 2+ pts: 23%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
R+0.9 to D+0.9: 29%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 mar 2027