Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Prague mayoral election winner?
Petr Hlaváček: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 10 oct 2027
Florida's 7th District margin of victory
Dalton, 1+ pts: 22%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory
Scott, 29+ pts: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 7th District margin of victory
Elijah, 1+ pts: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California's 37th District margin of victory
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 5+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
In what year will the next UK general election be held?
2029: 46%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will Trump impose capital controls?
No: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Wyoming Senate margin of victory
Hageman, 26+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia's 1st District margin of victory
Taylor, 1+ pts: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas's 38th District margin of victory
Bonck, 2+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 9th District margin of victory
Soto, 10+ pts: 14%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 10th District margin of victory
Frost, 45+ pts: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas's 26th District margin of victory
Gill, 1+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California's 34th District margin of victory
Jimmy Gomez, 1+ pts: 18%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 71%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Texas's 36th District margin of victory
Babin, 12+ pts: 99%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas Supreme Court Place 7 winner?
Kyle Hawkins: 84%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas Supreme Court Place 2 winner?
James P. Sullivan: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 11th District margin of victory
Strada, 1+ pts: 81%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California's 14th District margin of victory
Melissa Hernandez, 10+ pts: 3%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 12th District margin of victory
Bilirakis, 1+ pts: 84%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 13th District margin of victory
Gray, 2+ pts: 27%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 13th District margin of victory
Luna, 1+ pts: 65%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 14th District margin of victory
Castor, 2+ pts: 53%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California's 12th District margin of victory
Lateefah Simon, 20+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 15th District margin of victory
People, 2+ pts: 12%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 15th District margin of victory
Lee, 1+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
West Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 390K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Argentina presidential election: first round winner?
Javier Milei: 63%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 23 oct 2028
Florida's 16th District margin of victory
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois's 17th District margin of victory
Sorensen, 3+ pts: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California's 11th District margin of victory
Connie Chan, 4+ pts: 14%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Slovakia parliamentary election winner?
Coalition including PS: 46%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 29 sept 2028
New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory
Kean, 1+ pts: 13%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Washington Supreme Court Position 5 winner?
Theo Angelis: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Sonora Governor winner?
Morena: 79%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 jun 2028
Ciudad Juárez mayoral election winner?
Morena: 76%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 jun 2028
Washington 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas's 11th District margin of victory
Pfluger, 15+ pts: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey's 8th District margin of victory
Menendez, 38+ pts: 99%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey's 9th District margin of victory
Pou, 2+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas's 9th District margin of victory
Gutierrez, 2+ pts: 12%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey's 10th District margin of victory
McIver, 45+ pts: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed?
Before 2030: 27%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Florida's 19th District margin of victory
Schwartzel, 8+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California's 7th District margin of victory
Mai Vang, 1+ pts: 31%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 21st District margin of victory
Mast, 1+ pts: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Indiana Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029