Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Yorkton-Melville by-election winner?
Conservative Party: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 18 abr 2028
Colorado's 6th District margin of victory
Crow, 18+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee?
Rocky Adkins: 70%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 17 may 2028
Colorado's 7th District margin of victory
Pettersen, 12+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
East Timor presidential election winner?
José Ramos-Horta: 22%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 29 feb 2028
Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie by-election winner?
Liberal: 53%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 12 abr 2028
Kanagawa gubernatorial election winner?
Yuji Kuroiwa: 42%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 10 abr 2028
Hokkaido gubernatorial election winner?
Naomichi Suzuki: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 10 abr 2028
Gambian parliamentary election winner?
NPP: 58%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 10 abr 2028
How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?
Above 110,000: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 feb 2027
Will Illinois regulate data center energy and water use?
Yes: 71%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 may 2027
Sapporo mayoral election winner?
Yu Arai: 43%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 10 abr 2028
Illinois's 8th District margin of victory
Bean, 3+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Travis County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 74%: 81%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Genesee County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 48%: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?
At least 8 mph: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?
Above 97: 75%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 32%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 18 abr 2028
Colorado's 8th District margin of victory
Rutinel, 2+ pts: 76%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Connecticut's 1st District margin of victory
Bronin, 22+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Connecticut's 2nd District margin of victory
Courtney, 8+ pts: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Finnish general election winner?
Social Democratic Party: 77%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 29 abr 2028
Scarborough North by-election winner?
Liberal Party: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 28 mar 2028
Adelaide Lord Mayor election winner?
Jane Lomax-Smith: 35%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 abr 2028
Taiwan Legislative Yuan by-elections winner?
Democratic Progressive Party: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 24 mar 2028
Who will win the next Uttarakhand Assembly election?
BJP: 73%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 21 mar 2028
Vilnius mayoral election winner?
Valdas Benkunskas: 61%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 mar 2028
Dutch Provincial Elections winner?
PRO: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 16 mar 2028
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
Above 170 million: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 8 ene 2027
Connecticut's 3rd District margin of victory
DeLauro, 17+ pts: 83%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 64%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
No: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 24%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Will China approve extra central government bonds of at least 1 trillion yuan?
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Connecticut's 4th District margin of victory
Himes, 21+ pts: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
No: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 ene 2027
Delaware margin of victory
Democrats, 19+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?
At least 1: 38%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Delaware Senate margin of victory
Democrats, 20+ pts: 100%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 3rd District margin of victory
Cammack, 5+ pts: 77%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Belize City mayoral election winner?
PUP: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 2 mar 2028
Florida's 4th District margin of victory
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many government shutdowns in 2026?
2: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Florida's 4th District margin of victory
Bean, 3+ pts: 71%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick out as Representatives?
No: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2026
Florida's 6th District margin of victory
Fine, 12+ pts: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
Above $1M: 99%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How many U.S. visas will be revoked in 2026?
At least 100,000: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027