Best LLM at the end of the decade?
Mercados
Essential AI
- Yes24%
- No76%
Volumen $1.4K · Liquidez $285
Amazon
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volumen $1.2K · Liquidez $100
Google
- Yes29%
- No71%
Volumen $412.1 · Liquidez $362.1
Anthropic
- Yes19%
- No81%
Volumen $169.4 · Liquidez $112.2
xAI
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volumen $51.3 · Liquidez $51.3
OpenAI
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volumen $5.3 · Liquidez $5.3
Meta
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Alibaba
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
DeepSeek
- Yes4%
- No97%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Moonshot
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Z AI
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Xiaomi
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
StepFun
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
MiniMax
- Yes4%
- No97%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Mistral
- Yes4%
- No97%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
NVIDIA
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Baidu
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
ByteDance
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Thinking Machines
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
China Mobile
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Upstage
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Tencent
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
InclusionAI
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
LongCat
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Cohere
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Inception
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Arcee AI
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Microsoft
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Safe Superintelligence
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Reflection AI
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Prime Intellect
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Huawei
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
LG AI Research
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Institute of Foundation Models
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Reglas de resolución
If OpenAI has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Tecnología y ciencia
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
United States: 66%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2029
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030: 44%
Vol. 24h $64 · Cierra 31 dic 2029
Next pandemic
Before 2030: 22%
Vol. 24h $6.6 · Cierra 31 dic 2029
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?
Z AI: 99%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
Yes: 54%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
No: 80%
Vol. 24h $52.1 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
Yes: 58%
Vol. 24h $28.1 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
Before 2030: 67%
Vol. 24h $19.8 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 23%
Vol. 24h $97K · Cierra 20 ene 2029
When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard?
Before 2029: 40%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States: 57%
Vol. 24h $169.2 · Cierra 1 ene 2031

