When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
Mercados
Before 2027
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volumen $2.5K · Liquidez $1.8K
Before 2028
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volumen $203.5 · Liquidez $202
Before 2031
- Yes58%
- No42%
Volumen $12.4 · Liquidez $12.4
Before 2029
- Yes60%
- No40%
Volumen $7.6 · Liquidez $6
Before 2030
- Yes74%
- No26%
Volumen $1 · Liquidez $1
Before 2032
- Yes74%
- No26%
Volumen $1 · Liquidez $1
Reglas de resolución
If Hodge Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2027 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
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