Mercados de predicción de Tecnología y ciencia
Mercados de Kalshi en vivo sobre IA, espacio, lanzamientos tecnológicos e hitos científicos.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2040: 52%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2040
Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
Anthropic: 47%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
Alibaba: 49%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
United States: 66%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2029
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Hodge Conjecture: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2045
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
No: 75%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2050
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
OpenAI: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
No: 70%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2050
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
Yes: 54%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2035
When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
Before 2040: 38%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 ene 2040
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
Yes: 54%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?
Before 2035: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2035
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?
Z AI: 99%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 83%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
No: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2099
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
Before 2028: 82%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
How many locally acquired dengue cases will be reported in Florida in 2026?
250 or more: 99%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 24 ene 2027
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
before April 2027: 69%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Elon make a Bluesky account before 2027?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2027