EV market share in 2030?
Mercados
Above 30%
- Yes47%
- No53%
Volumen $15K · Liquidez $3.6K
Above 20%
- Yes66%
- No34%
Volumen $11.8K · Liquidez $3.9K
Above 50%
- Yes24%
- No76%
Volumen $9.3K · Liquidez $3.7K
Above 10%
- Yes86%
- No14%
Volumen $2.1K · Liquidez $538.2
Reglas de resolución
If the share of electric light-duty vehicles sold is above 10% in Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Mundo
8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
No: 71%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
Before 2029: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
No: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2028
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
Yes: 70%
Vol. 24h $2.4 · Cierra 31 dic 2031
Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?
No: 60%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 4 sept 2027
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Oil: 61%
Vol. 24h $156 · Cierra 30 dic 2032
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?
No: 52%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2032
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
2.5°C to 2.9°C: 48%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 15 ago 2027
Major volcano eruption in 2026?
At least 1: 60%
Vol. 24h $22 · Cierra 29 jun 2027
What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
At least 2.0°C: 87%
Vol. 24h $10.3 · Cierra 5 abr 2027
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
At least 2.5°C: 82%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 abr 2027
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?
Above 15 inches: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027