What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Mercados
Oil
- Yes61%
- No39%
Volumen $51K · Liquidez $11.4K
Solar
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $28.8K · Liquidez $9.9K
Nuclear
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $20.2K · Liquidez $7.3K
Wind
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $9.3K · Liquidez $4.6K
Hydropower
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $7.8K · Liquidez $4K
Other renewables
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $7.5K · Liquidez $3.5K
Modern biofuels
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $6.9K · Liquidez $3.4K
Gas
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volumen $6.3K · Liquidez $1.6K
Traditional biomass
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $5.4K · Liquidez $2.4K
Coal
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volumen $5K · Liquidez $2.8K
Reglas de resolución
If Traditional biomass is the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Mundo
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?
No: 52%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2032
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
Yes: 70%
Vol. 24h $2.4 · Cierra 31 dic 2031
EV market share in 2030?
Above 10%: 86%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 may 2030
8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
No: 71%
Vol. 24h $35 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
No: 73%
Vol. 24h $2 · Cierra 31 dic 2035
US meets its climate goals?
By 2030: 16%
Vol. 24h $2.1 · Cierra 31 dic 2035
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
Before 2029: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
No: 88%
Vol. 24h $17.5 · Cierra 31 dic 2028
Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?
No: 60%
Vol. 24h $0.8 · Cierra 4 sept 2027
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
2.5°C to 2.9°C: 44%
Vol. 24h $3K · Cierra 15 ago 2027
Major volcano eruption in 2026?
At least 1: 60%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 29 jun 2027
What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
At least 2.0°C: 87%
Vol. 24h $10.3 · Cierra 5 abr 2027

