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Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl

Markets

  • Sydney Sweeney

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Anya Taylor-Joy

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Margaret Qualley

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $2K

  • Florence Pugh

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $787.4

  • Daisy Edgar-Jones

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $808.3 · Liquidity $518.3

  • Zendaya

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $759.8 · Liquidity $575.9

  • Ana de Armas

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $755.9 · Liquidity $371.5

  • Adria Arjona

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $482 · Liquidity $430.4

  • Jodie Comer

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $410.7 · Liquidity $273.7

  • Alicia Vikander

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $378.2 · Liquidity $313.2

  • Lily James

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $360.8 · Liquidity $358.8

  • Vanessa Kirby

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $287 · Liquidity $185

  • Emma Mackey

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $265.6 · Liquidity $146.6

  • Hunter Schafer

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $256.6 · Liquidity $97.9

  • Mikey Madison

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $211.4 · Liquidity $185.4

  • Cailee Spaeny

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $194.7 · Liquidity $162.7

Resolution rules

If Sydney Sweeney performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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