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Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain

Markets

  • Peter Dinklage

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $102.9

  • Cillian Murphy

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $801.2 · Liquidity $187.4

  • Barry Keoghan

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $581 · Liquidity $427.3

  • Adam Driver

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $284.8 · Liquidity $44.8

  • Rosamund Pike

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $280.5 · Liquidity $21.5

  • Idris Elba

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $163 · Liquidity $132.4

  • Oscar Isaac

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $63.8 · Liquidity $37.8

Resolution rules

If Peter Dinklage performs/ is announced as The Villain in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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