Skip to content

What will the White House Press Secretary say in the next press briefing?

Markets

  • Event does not qualify/occur

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $14.1K · Liquidity $10.6K

  • Trump (3+ times)

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • China / Chinese

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $246.1

  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $571.8 · Liquidity $464.8

  • Inflation

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $223.2 · Liquidity $187.3

  • Iran / Iranian

    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $207.3 · Liquidity $183.4

  • Economy / Economic

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $148.8 · Liquidity $142.3

  • California

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $119.5 · Liquidity $60

  • Nuclear

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $110 · Liquidity $110

  • Biden

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $94.8 · Liquidity $94.8

  • Democrat

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $79.6 · Liquidity $79.4

  • Border

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $64 · Liquidity $64

  • Illegal Alien

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $61 · Liquidity $61

  • Leavitt

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $61 · Liquidity $61

  • Russia / Ukraine

    • Yes49%
    • No51%

    Volume $58.2 · Liquidity $58.2

  • Venezuela

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $55 · Liquidity $55

  • AI / Artificial Intelligence

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $41.5 · Liquidity $36.2

  • Election / Midterm

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $40.1 · Liquidity $40.1

  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $39.7 · Liquidity $14.2

  • Fake News

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $30.2 · Liquidity $30.2

  • Crypto / Bitcoin

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $10.1 · Liquidity $10.1

  • Fraud

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $0.1 · Liquidity $0.1

  • Tariff

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • America First

    • Yes16%
    • No85%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Fentanyl

    • Yes16%
    • No85%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • ICE

    • Yes18%
    • No83%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the White House Press Secretary says Trump (3+ times) at the next Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary (does not include gaggles), then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses