Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026
Markets
Above 1.00%
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $1.4K
Above .8%
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $266.7
Above .7%
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $275.9
Above .9%
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $603
Resolution rules
If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
S&P close price end of 2026?
7,800 to 7,999.99: 24%
24h vol $52.8K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
33,000.01 or above: 12%
24h vol $23.3K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
S&P price at year-end?
6,900 or above: 96%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
How low will the Nasdaq-100 get in 2026?
22,400 or below: 15%
24h vol $1K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
NASDAQ-100 price at year-end?
26,000 or above: 82%
24h vol $675.5 · Ends Dec 31, 2026
How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?
30,800 or above: 99%
24h vol $588.1 · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?
Yes: 87%
24h vol $341.3 · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Yes: 90%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
$115.01 or above: 35%
24h vol $56.3K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?
63.99 or below: 12%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
4.75% or above: 87%
24h vol $201.6 · Ends Dec 31, 2026
USD/BRL high in 2026
5.5 or above: 19%
24h vol $24.4 · Ends Dec 31, 2026