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Median Big Law starting salary in 2027

Markets

  • Above $230,000

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $450 · Liquidity $50

  • Above $245,000

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $240,000

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Above $215,000

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $220,000

    • Yes97%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $225,000

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $235,000

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is above $215,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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