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How many government employees will Trump cut?

Markets

  • More than 150,000

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • More than 100,000

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $7.4K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • More than 250,000

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • More than 350,000

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1K

  • More than 200,000

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $858.8 · Liquidity $264.8

  • More than 300,000

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $624.6 · Liquidity $556.4

Resolution rules

If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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