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U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?

Markets

  • Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $52.5K · Liquidity $5K

Resolution rules

If U.S. nonfarm business sector labor productivity year-over-year growth is above 3% in any quarter of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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