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How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?

Markets

  • Above $1000

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $33.6K · Liquidity $14.8K

  • Above $1200

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $18.2K · Liquidity $5.1K

  • Above $1100

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $11.8K · Liquidity $4.3K

  • Above $1300

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Above $1500

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $911.5

  • Above $1400

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $849.2

  • Above $1600

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $566.3 · Liquidity $465

Resolution rules

If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1000 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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