France credit rating downgrade in 2026?
Markets
Will a Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch downgrade of France’s credit rating be confirmed before 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
Volume $518.7 · Liquidity $509.9
Resolution rules
If a downgrade by Moody’s, S&P, or Fitch, of France’s long-term foreign-currency sovereign issuer rating is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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