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How high will the S&P get this year?

Markets

  • 8,000 or above

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $423.2K · Liquidity $150.2K

  • 7,800 or above

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $384.8K · Liquidity $157.2K

  • 8,200 or above

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $200.1K · Liquidity $90K

  • 8,400 or above

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $125.4K · Liquidity $54K

  • 8,600 or above

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $110.1K · Liquidity $38.1K

  • 9,000 or above

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $96.2K · Liquidity $52.8K

  • 8,800 or above

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $58.2K · Liquidity $34.2K

Resolution rules

If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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