How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?
Markets
Above 0.4%
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $450 · Liquidity $94
Above 0.2%
- Yes49%
- No51%
Volume $291 · Liquidity $160
Above 0.3%
- Yes27%
- No73%
Volume $250 · Liquidity $125
Above 0.1%
- Yes84%
- No16%
Volume $56 · Liquidity $2
Above 0.0%
- Yes90%
- No10%
Volume $4 · Liquidity $4
Resolution rules
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?
Above 0.0%: 90%
24h vol $4.2 · Ends Dec 23, 2026
Bank of Korea rate decision in November
Hike 1-25bps: 74%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Nov 26, 2026
Mexico unemployment rate in October
Above 2.6%: 90%
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Bank of Israel rate decision in November
Maintain current rate: 64%
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Credit Card Delinquency Rate in Q3 2026
Above 2.79%: 81%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 30, 2026
South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026
Above -0.4%: 87%
24h vol $282 · Ends Dec 1, 2026
South Africa rate decision in November
Maintain current rate: 51%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends Nov 19, 2026
Australia unemployment rate in October
Above 4.3%: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 19, 2026
Will U.S. GivingTuesday donations set a new record in 2026?
Yes: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 2, 2026
Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026
Above 1.0%: 40%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 2, 2026
ADP employment change in Nov 2026?
Above -25000: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 2, 2026
US housing starts for October
Above 1.050M: 97%
24h vol $56.3 · Ends Nov 18, 2026

