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How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?

Markets

  • Above 0.3%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $241

  • Above 0.1%

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $363 · Liquidity $303

  • Above 0.4%

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $247 · Liquidity $87

  • Above 0.2%

    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $241 · Liquidity $98

  • Above 0.0%

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

Resolution rules

If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in November 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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