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Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?

Markets

  • Will the labor force participation rate for people ages 25 to 54, seasonally adjusted for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027 be above 84.0%?

    • Yes36%
    • No65%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If BLS reports that the labor force participation rate for people ages 25 to 54, seasonally adjusted for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 84.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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