US solar capacity installed in 2026
Markets
At least 55 GWdc
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $8.5K · Liquidity $4.1K
At least 50 GWdc
- Yes43%
- No57%
Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $1.7K
At least 45 GWdc
- Yes74%
- No27%
Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.4K
At least 40 GWdc
- Yes97%
- No3%
Volume $913.6 · Liquidity $804.1
At least 35 GWdc
- Yes97%
- No3%
Volume $911 · Liquidity $428
Resolution rules
If at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?
No: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?
Yes: 70%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026
Above 9.00 Tcf: 97%
24h vol $840 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
Above 1.7 million: 97%
24h vol $13.5 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026?
Yes: 76%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
No: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Texas crude oil production in 2026
Above 5.6 million barrels/day: 98%
24h vol $57.5K · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
Above $200,000: 98%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Maine lobster landings in 2026
Above 55 million pounds: 94%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Will North Carolina pharmaceutical manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
No: 81%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Will Indiana transportation equipment jobs rise YoY?
No: 69%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2027
Will Minnesota taconite production rise YoY?
No: 59%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 31, 2027

