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US solar capacity installed in​ 2026

Markets

  • At least 55 GWdc

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $8.5K · Liquidity $4.1K

  • At least 50 GWdc

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • At least 45 GWdc

    • Yes74%
    • No27%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • At least 40 GWdc

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $913.6 · Liquidity $804.1

  • At least 35 GWdc

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $911 · Liquidity $428

Resolution rules

If at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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