Texas crude oil production in 2026
Markets
Above 5.7 million barrels/day
- Yes96%
- No4%
Volume $106.7K · Liquidity $53.1K
Above 5.8 million barrels/day
- Yes25%
- No75%
Volume $67.6K · Liquidity $11.8K
Above 5.9 million barrels/day
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $57.5K · Liquidity $12.4K
Above 5.6 million barrels/day
- Yes98%
- No2%
Volume $54.3K · Liquidity $982.1
Resolution rules
If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 5.6 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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