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Unemployment in November

Markets

  • Above 4.2%

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Above 4.3%

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $2.9K

  • Above 4.1%

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Above 3.7%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Above 3.8%

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $766

  • Above 4.6%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $880

  • Above 4.0%

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $949.2

  • Above 3.9%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $496.8

  • Above 4.5%

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $598.3

  • Above 4.4%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $460

  • Above 4.8%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $438 · Liquidity $24

  • Above 4.7%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $115 · Liquidity $80

  • Above 5.0%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $61 · Liquidity $29

  • Above 4.9%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $55 · Liquidity $12

Resolution rules

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.7% in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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