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Unemployment in October

Markets

  • Above 4.1%

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $51.1K · Liquidity $43K

  • Above 4.5%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $30.3K · Liquidity $29.3K

  • Above 4.2%

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $13K · Liquidity $5.5K

  • Above 4.4%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $12.4K · Liquidity $9.6K

  • Above 4.0%

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $9.2K · Liquidity $3.1K

  • Above 4.3%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $8.7K · Liquidity $5.1K

  • Above 3.8%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $8.6K · Liquidity $8.2K

  • Above 3.9%

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $8.5K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • Above 3.7%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $3K

  • Above 4.7%

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $394.9

  • Above 4.6%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $399.2

  • Above 5.0%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Above 4.8%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $899.5 · Liquidity $640.7

  • Above 4.9%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $799 · Liquidity $393

Resolution rules

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.7% in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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