10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
Markets
3% or above
- Yes95%
- No5%
Volume $8.4K · Liquidity $322.4
3.75% or above
- Yes67%
- No33%
Volume $8.1K · Liquidity $333.2
4% or above
- Yes78%
- No22%
Volume $8.1K · Liquidity $460.1
5% or above
- Yes56%
- No44%
Volume $8.1K · Liquidity $125.7
2.25% or above
- Yes97%
- No3%
Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $125
3.25% or above
- Yes24%
- No76%
Volume $6.6K · Liquidity $174.2
5.25% or above
- Yes67%
- No33%
Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $88
4.5% or above
- Yes91%
- No9%
Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $164
7% or above
- Yes76%
- No24%
Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $209.9
2% or above
- Yes91%
- No9%
Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $90.1
8% or above
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $170.2
3.5% or above
- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $5K · Liquidity $126.9
2.5% or above
- Yes92%
- No8%
Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $209.7
5.5% or above
- Yes74%
- No26%
Volume $4.7K · Liquidity $131.6
6.75% or above
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $268
5.75% or above
- Yes52%
- No48%
Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $129.3
2.75% or above
- Yes83%
- No17%
Volume $4K · Liquidity $362
6.25% or above
- Yes19%
- No81%
Volume $4K · Liquidity $100.1
4.25% or above
- Yes72%
- No28%
Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $162
7.5% or above
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $212.3
6% or above
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $239.8
6.5% or above
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $372
4.75% or above
- Yes74%
- No26%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $333.1
7.25% or above
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $197.8
7.75% or above
- Yes45%
- No55%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $291.4
Resolution rules
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 1.99% on Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
3.5% or above: 99%
24h vol $23.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2027
S&P 2027 year end price range
8,600 to 8,799.99: 14%
24h vol $6 · Ends Dec 31, 2027
What will the price of TrendForce's DDR5 be at year-end 2027?
Above $25.00: 83%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2027
S&P 2027 year end price
7,200 or above: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2027
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
Before 2028: 73%
24h vol $13.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
When will Waymo officially announce an IPO?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 27%
24h vol $86 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs: 67%
24h vol $58 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?
At least $175,000: 99%
24h vol $22.2 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
Morgan Stanley: 86%
24h vol $12 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will SpaceX acquire any major U.S. telecom business before 2028?
No: 69%
24h vol $3.1 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will JPMorgan acquire any company before 2028?
Yes: 74%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Who will acquire Letterboxd?
Sony Pictures: 29%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2028

