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Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?

Markets

  • Mainland China

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $8.7K · Liquidity $4.9K

  • United Kingdom

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Japan

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • India

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $643.5

  • Norway

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $400.6 · Liquidity $273

  • South Korea

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $302.9 · Liquidity $110.3

  • Saudi Arabia

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $170.9 · Liquidity $53.4

  • Canada

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $80.6 · Liquidity $47.6

  • Taiwan

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $75 · Liquidity $70

  • Brazil

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $66 · Liquidity $55

  • France

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $27.5 · Liquidity $27.4

  • UAE

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

Resolution rules

If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Japan for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Japan for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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