How high will inflation get this year?
Markets
At least 4.5%
- Yes23%
- No78%
Volume $366.6K · Liquidity $158.5K
At least 5.0%
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $116.7K · Liquidity $41.5K
At least 5.5%
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $51K · Liquidity $19.3K
At least 6.0%
- Yes2%
- No99%
Volume $22.7K · Liquidity $8.6K
At least 6.5%
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $3.7K
At least 7.0%
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.1K
Resolution rules
If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
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24h vol $1.1K · Ends Feb 19, 2027
U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026?
No: 98%
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US real GDP growth in 2026?
2.1% to 2.5%: 58%
24h vol $400 · Ends Feb 28, 2027
US trade deficit for 2026?
Above 170 billion: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 28, 2027
USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
Above 56.0%: 80%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 28, 2027
Recession this year?
No: 96%
24h vol $877.6 · Ends Jan 31, 2027
Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026
Above 15.50 million: 94%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends Feb 28, 2027
Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
Above 8.4 million TEUs: 96%
24h vol $998.5 · Ends Feb 28, 2027
Rhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026
Above 28.0¢/kWh: 96%
24h vol $250 · Ends Feb 28, 2027
Will Rhode Island home prices rise YoY?
Yes: 79%
24h vol $200 · Ends Feb 28, 2027
Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
Above 87.5 TWh: 96%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 28, 2027
Will Mississippi catfish production rise YoY?
No: 86%
24h vol $0 · Ends Feb 28, 2027