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Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)

Markets

  • Raphaël Glucksmann

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $9.6K · Liquidity $4.7K

  • Gabriel Attal

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $2.6K

  • David Lisnard

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • Bruno Retailleau

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $383

  • Xavier Bertrand

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $383

  • François Ruffin

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $383

  • Édouard Philippe

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $864.6 · Liquidity $629.6

  • Jordan Bardella

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $716 · Liquidity $383

  • Marine Tondelier

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $716 · Liquidity $383

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $488.1 · Liquidity $488.1

  • Éric Zemmour

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $383 · Liquidity $383

  • Marine Le Pen

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $383 · Liquidity $383

  • François Hollande

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $383 · Liquidity $383

  • Dominique de Villepin

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $383 · Liquidity $383

Resolution rules

If Jean-Luc Mélenchon finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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