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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Markets

  • Gabriel Attal

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • Éric Zemmour

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Bruno Retailleau

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $874.2

  • Raphaël Glucksmann

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • François Hollande

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Dominique de Villepin

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Bernard Cazeneuve

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $624.1 · Liquidity $512.1

  • Édouard Philippe

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $619 · Liquidity $233

  • Olivier Faure

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $542.6 · Liquidity $272.6

  • François Ruffin

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $412.7 · Liquidity $328.7

  • Jordan Bardella

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $382 · Liquidity $154

  • Fabien Roussel

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $382 · Liquidity $380

  • Karim Bouamrane

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $365 · Liquidity $168

  • François Asselineau

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $338 · Liquidity $279

  • Jérôme Guedj

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $226 · Liquidity $47

  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $193.6 · Liquidity $124

  • Marine Tondelier

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $102.7 · Liquidity $96.3

  • Marine Le Pen

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $60 · Liquidity $37

  • Nathalie Arthaud

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $8.8 · Liquidity $8.8

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $6 · Liquidity $6

  • Clémentine Autain

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Gérald Darmanin

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Jean Lassalle

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Jean-Luc Mélenchon is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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