How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
Markets
Above 500
- Yes90%
- No10%
Volume $26.6K · Liquidity $3.8K
Above 1,100
- Yes30%
- No70%
Volume $8.5K · Liquidity $1.2K
Above 700
- Yes78%
- No22%
Volume $8.4K · Liquidity $2.2K
Above 800
- Yes75%
- No25%
Volume $7.5K · Liquidity $1K
Above 600
- Yes81%
- No19%
Volume $5K · Liquidity $2K
Above 1,300
- Yes19%
- No81%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.5K
Above 1,200
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $525
Above 900
- Yes54%
- No46%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $542
Above 1,400
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $389.1
Above 1,000
- Yes41%
- No59%
Volume $877.7 · Liquidity $207
Resolution rules
If the total number of ground water rights listed as subject to curtailment for the 2027 irrigation season under the Idaho Department of Water Resources' operative curtailment orders in the Surface Water Coalition delivery call is above 500 as of October 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Which ballot measures will pass in Alabama?
Amendment 3: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Vermont?
Proposal 3: 93%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 2, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?
Proposition C: 78%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
Proposition 3: 93%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will Maryland Question 3 pass?
Yes: 76%
24h vol $39.6 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Will anyone win the Vermont Governor election outright?
Yes: 68%
24h vol $860 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Nebraska Governor-Senate combo
Jim Pillen and Pete Ricketts win: 75%
24h vol $276.9 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio State Auditor winner?
Frank LaRose: 70%
24h vol $246.8 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Los Angeles County Sheriff winner?
Robert G. Luna: 98%
24h vol $46.8 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Ohio Treasurer of State winner?
Jay Edwards: 69%
24h vol $27.4 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
FL-22 House election: Casey Askar vote percent
At least 44%: 87%
24h vol $3.1 · Ends Nov 3, 2027
Hidalgo County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 52%: 97%
24h vol $3 · Ends Nov 3, 2027

