Lai Ching-te departure announced?
Markets
Before July 1, 2027
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $10.9K · Liquidity $5.4K
Before January 1, 2028
- Yes27%
- No73%
Volume $4.5K · Liquidity $1.5K
Before January 1, 2027
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $3K · Liquidity $1.3K
Resolution rules
If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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