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Who will be a part of the next government of Spain?

Markets

  • Frente Amplio

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $0

  • Vox

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • People's Party

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • PSOE

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Podemos

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • United Left

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Más Madrid

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Republican Left of Catalonia

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Junts per Catalunya

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Basque Nationalist Party

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Comuns

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • EH Bildu

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If a coalition that includes the People's Party make up the next elected ruling government of Spain before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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