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Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?

Markets

  • Hakeem Jeffries

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $13.5K · Liquidity $5.3K

  • Katherine Clark

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $13.1K · Liquidity $5.8K

  • Pete Aguilar

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $11K · Liquidity $5K

  • Joe Neguse

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $10K · Liquidity $5K

  • Ted Lieu

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $10K · Liquidity $5K

  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $8K · Liquidity $5K

  • Steve Scalise

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $7.5K · Liquidity $3.8K

  • Tom Emmer

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $6.6K · Liquidity $4.1K

  • Lisa McClain

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.7K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Mike Lawler

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4K · Liquidity $1K

  • Mike Johnson

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $2.6K

  • Jay Obernolte

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Jim Jordan

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Richard Hudson

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • August Pfluger

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Kevin Hern

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Hakeem Jeffries wins the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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