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New Zealand general election winner?

Markets

  • Labour

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $6.5K · Liquidity $2.6K

  • National

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • ACT

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $7.3 · Liquidity $7.3

  • Te Pāti Māori

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Green

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • NZ First

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Opportunity

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the National party wins the next New Zealand general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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