2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
Markets
JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $21K · Liquidity $9.8K
Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $20.6K · Liquidity $10.1K
Marco Rubio defeats Gavin Newsom
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $15.9K · Liquidity $7.6K
Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $13.2K · Liquidity $7.6K
AOC defeats JD Vance
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $11.7K · Liquidity $7.2K
JD Vance defeats AOC
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $8.2K · Liquidity $5.3K
Jon Ossoff defeats JD Vance
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $5.1K
Jon Ossoff defeats Marco Rubio
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $3K
JD Vance defeats Kamala Harris
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $4.7K
Marco Rubio defeats AOC
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $3.9K
Andy Beshear defeats Marco Rubio
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $4.5K · Liquidity $3.2K
Kamala Harris defeats JD Vance
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.7K
Pete Buttigieg defeats JD Vance
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $1.2K
Marco Rubio defeats Jon Ossoff
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $865.6
AOC defeats Marco Rubio
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.3K
Pete Buttigieg defeats Marco Rubio
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.4K
JD Vance defeats James Talarico
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $598.5
Marco Rubio defeats Kamala Harris
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $787.7 · Liquidity $723.7
Andy Beshear defeats JD Vance
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $761.7 · Liquidity $736.7
James Talarico defeats JD Vance
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $747.5 · Liquidity $604
Josh Shapiro defeats JD Vance
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $700.8 · Liquidity $686.8
Marco Rubio defeats Pete Buttigieg
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $593.5 · Liquidity $543.5
JD Vance defeats Jon Ossoff
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $500.4 · Liquidity $218.4
James Talarico defeats Marco Rubio
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $493.5 · Liquidity $450
Marco Rubio defeats Andy Beshear
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $493.5 · Liquidity $493.5
JD Vance defeats Josh Shapiro
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $484.1 · Liquidity $292.1
Marco Rubio defeats James Talarico
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $453 · Liquidity $453
JD Vance defeats Pete Buttigieg
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $204.6 · Liquidity $204.6
Marco Rubio defeats Josh Shapiro
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $200.8 · Liquidity $200.8
Josh Shapiro defeats Marco Rubio
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $155 · Liquidity $155
JD Vance defeats Andy Beshear
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $96.8 · Liquidity $96.8
Kamala Harris defeats Marco Rubio
- Yes2%
- No99%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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