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Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?

Markets

  • Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let Presidents run for a third term before Jan 1, 2029

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $340K · Liquidity $103K

Resolution rules

If the 22nd Amendment has been repealed by a subsequent Constitutional Amendment, or if the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled in an opinion or judgment that the 22nd Amendment permits individuals to be elected to the Presidency at least thrice under at least some circumstances, before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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