Who will Trump pardon?
Markets
Barron Trump
- Yes52%
- No48%
Volume $70.6K · Liquidity $42.1K
Donald Trump
- Yes52%
- No48%
Volume $66.9K · Liquidity $24K
Sean Combs
- Yes29%
- No71%
Volume $41.4K · Liquidity $7.1K
Ghislaine Maxwell
- Yes41%
- No59%
Volume $35.4K · Liquidity $11.2K
Donald Trump Jr.
- Yes63%
- No37%
Volume $21K · Liquidity $14.1K
Sam Bankman-Fried
- Yes30%
- No70%
Volume $17.7K · Liquidity $3.9K
Edward Snowden
- Yes28%
- No72%
Volume $17K · Liquidity $7K
Eric Trump
- Yes66%
- No34%
Volume $10.3K · Liquidity $7.5K
Torence Hatch
- Yes38%
- No62%
Volume $9.6K · Liquidity $3.8K
Larry Householder
- Yes31%
- No69%
Volume $9.3K · Liquidity $2.3K
Steve Bannon
- Yes33%
- No67%
Volume $8.6K · Liquidity $4.1K
Jared Kushner
- Yes55%
- No45%
Volume $8.2K · Liquidity $6K
Alex Mashinsky
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $4.5K
Elon Musk
- Yes42%
- No58%
Volume $7.2K · Liquidity $3.7K
Pete Hegseth
- Yes52%
- No48%
Volume $7K · Liquidity $4K
Derek Chauvin
- Yes31%
- No69%
Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $3K
Tim Leissner
- Yes35%
- No65%
Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $3.4K
Roger Ver
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $4.2K
Brian Cole Jr.
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $6K · Liquidity $2.3K
Prakazrel Michel
- Yes35%
- No65%
Volume $5.9K · Liquidity $1.6K
Ty Garbin
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $4.2K
Marco Rubio
- Yes38%
- No62%
Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $2.9K
Scott Bessent
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $2.6K
JD Vance
- Yes45%
- No55%
Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $4K
Julian Assange
- Yes33%
- No67%
Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $4.3K
Bob Menendez
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $1.7K
Pete Rose
- Yes23%
- No77%
Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $1.1K
Todd Blanche
- Yes43%
- No57%
Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $3K
Eric Adams
- Yes38%
- No62%
Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $2.7K
Robin Smith
- Yes33%
- No67%
Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $2.7K
Susie Wiles
- Yes45%
- No55%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $2.3K
Pam Bondi
- Yes34%
- No66%
Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $1.7K
Martin Shkreli
- Yes33%
- No67%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $991
Hunter Biden
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $1.7K
Keonne Rodriguez
- Yes47%
- No53%
Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $645.9
Kisean Anderson
- Yes25%
- No75%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $256
Justin Sun
- Yes26%
- No74%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1K
Leon Stanton
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.3K
Matt Borges
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1K
Jose Muyet
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.3K
Elizabeth Holmes
- Yes41%
- No59%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $731
Jho Low
- Yes31%
- No69%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.3K
Jeffery Williams
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1K
Daniel Hale
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1K
DeAndre Way
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1K
Do Kwon
- Yes24%
- No76%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $499.4
Safaree Samuels
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K
Joseph Maldonado
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $887 · Liquidity $297.6
Tou Thao
- Yes19%
- No81%
Volume $694.2 · Liquidity $6.1
Joe Giudice
- Yes25%
- No75%
Volume $459.1 · Liquidity $103.8
Sebastian Telfair
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $400.2 · Liquidity $250
Bill Hwang
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $283.7 · Liquidity $162.5
Resolution rules
If Robin Smith has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029: 21%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Jan 21, 2029
Will Trump resign during his term?
No: 78%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Jan 21, 2029
Will the Trump family be pardoned?
Yes: 82%
24h vol $385 · Ends Jan 21, 2029
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
No: 90%
24h vol $184.7 · Ends Jan 21, 2029
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
No: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 21, 2029
How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
At least 1: 71%
24h vol $845.3 · Ends Jan 21, 2029
How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
At least 1: 71%
24h vol $192.4 · Ends Jan 21, 2029
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?
At least 7 days: 92%
24h vol $1.8 · Ends Jan 21, 2029
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Andrew Oldham: 13%
24h vol $63.7 · Ends Jan 21, 2029
Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
Bitcoin: 16%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 21, 2029
Will Trump make a recess appointment?
Before Jan 21, 2029: 12%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 21, 2029
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition: 90%
24h vol $1K · Ends Jan 22, 2029

