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Who will Trump pardon?

Markets

  • Barron Trump

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $70.6K · Liquidity $42.1K

  • Donald Trump

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $66.9K · Liquidity $24K

  • Sean Combs

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $41.4K · Liquidity $7.1K

  • Ghislaine Maxwell

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $35.4K · Liquidity $11.2K

  • Donald Trump Jr.

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $21K · Liquidity $14.1K

  • Sam Bankman-Fried

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $17.7K · Liquidity $3.9K

  • Edward Snowden

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $17K · Liquidity $7K

  • Eric Trump

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $10.3K · Liquidity $7.5K

  • Torence Hatch

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $9.6K · Liquidity $3.8K

  • Larry Householder

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $9.3K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Steve Bannon

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $8.6K · Liquidity $4.1K

  • Jared Kushner

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $8.2K · Liquidity $6K

  • Alex Mashinsky

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $4.5K

  • Elon Musk

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $7.2K · Liquidity $3.7K

  • Pete Hegseth

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $7K · Liquidity $4K

  • Derek Chauvin

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $3K

  • Tim Leissner

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • Roger Ver

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $4.2K

  • Brian Cole Jr.

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $6K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Prakazrel Michel

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $5.9K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Ty Garbin

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $4.2K

  • Marco Rubio

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $5.6K · Liquidity $2.9K

  • Scott Bessent

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $2.6K

  • JD Vance

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $4K

  • Julian Assange

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $4.3K

  • Bob Menendez

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Pete Rose

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Todd Blanche

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $3K

  • Eric Adams

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Robin Smith

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Susie Wiles

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Pam Bondi

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Martin Shkreli

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $991

  • Hunter Biden

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Keonne Rodriguez

    • Yes47%
    • No53%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $645.9

  • Kisean Anderson

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $256

  • Justin Sun

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1K

  • Leon Stanton

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Matt Borges

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1K

  • Jose Muyet

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Elizabeth Holmes

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $731

  • Jho Low

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Jeffery Williams

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1K

  • Daniel Hale

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1K

  • DeAndre Way

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1K

  • Do Kwon

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $499.4

  • Safaree Samuels

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

  • Joseph Maldonado

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $887 · Liquidity $297.6

  • Tou Thao

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $694.2 · Liquidity $6.1

  • Joe Giudice

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $459.1 · Liquidity $103.8

  • Sebastian Telfair

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $400.2 · Liquidity $250

  • Bill Hwang

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $283.7 · Liquidity $162.5

Resolution rules

If Robin Smith has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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