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Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

Markets

  • Amul Thapar

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $49.2K · Liquidity $12.3K

  • Aileen Cannon

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $46.2K · Liquidity $19.9K

  • Ted Cruz

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $46K · Liquidity $23.8K

  • Andrew Oldham

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $43.3K · Liquidity $15.8K

  • Gregory G. Katsas

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $34.3K · Liquidity $11.6K

  • James Ho

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $32.6K · Liquidity $16.8K

  • Stephanos Bibas

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $24.1K · Liquidity $14.1K

  • Morse Tan

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $23.9K · Liquidity $13K

  • Joan Larsen

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $22.6K · Liquidity $12.1K

  • Kate Comerford Todd

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $22.3K · Liquidity $11.7K

  • Mike Lee

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $22.3K · Liquidity $12.9K

  • Tom Cotton

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $21K · Liquidity $12.1K

  • D. John Sauer

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $20K · Liquidity $12.7K

  • Ron DeSantis

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $18.8K · Liquidity $13K

  • Lawrence VanDyke

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $18.5K · Liquidity $13.4K

  • Britt Grant

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $18.2K · Liquidity $9.6K

  • Emil Bove

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $18K · Liquidity $13.7K

  • Kevin Newsom

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $17.5K · Liquidity $12.3K

  • Michael Park

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $17.2K · Liquidity $14.3K

  • Neomi Rao

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $16.6K · Liquidity $14.2K

  • Kathryn Mizelle

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $16.6K · Liquidity $12.3K

  • Barbara Lagoa

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $13.3K

  • Kristen Waggoner

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $15.2K · Liquidity $9.7K

  • Patrick Bumatay

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $15K · Liquidity $10.8K

  • Matthew Kacsmaryk

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $14.4K · Liquidity $11.2K

  • Kenneth Lee

    • Yes2%
    • No99%

    Volume $14.2K · Liquidity $8.7K

  • Clint Bolick

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $13.9K · Liquidity $11K

  • David Stras

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $13.2K · Liquidity $10.7K

  • Allison Jones Rushing

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $13K · Liquidity $10.7K

  • Stuart Kyle Duncan

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $10.7K · Liquidity $7.3K

  • Allison Eid

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $10.4K · Liquidity $6.8K

  • Mark Martin

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $10.3K · Liquidity $6.8K

  • Patrick Wyrick

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $10K · Liquidity $7.4K

  • Evan Young

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $9.9K · Liquidity $7.4K

  • Trevor McFadden

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $9.8K · Liquidity $6.1K

  • Kevin Brobson

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $9.1K · Liquidity $5.1K

  • Steven Menashi

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $6.5K · Liquidity $6.3K

  • Matthew Schwartz

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $5.1K

  • Eric Tung

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $4.1K

  • Yaakov Roth

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $333 · Liquidity $60

  • Anna St. John

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $322 · Liquidity $179

  • Mike Lee

    Closed
    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Amul Thapar is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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