Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Markets
Amul Thapar
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $49.2K · Liquidity $12.3K
Aileen Cannon
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $46.2K · Liquidity $19.9K
Ted Cruz
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $46K · Liquidity $23.8K
Andrew Oldham
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $43.3K · Liquidity $15.8K
Gregory G. Katsas
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $34.3K · Liquidity $11.6K
James Ho
- Yes10%
- No91%
Volume $32.6K · Liquidity $16.8K
Stephanos Bibas
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $24.1K · Liquidity $14.1K
Morse Tan
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $23.9K · Liquidity $13K
Joan Larsen
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $22.6K · Liquidity $12.1K
Kate Comerford Todd
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $22.3K · Liquidity $11.7K
Mike Lee
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $22.3K · Liquidity $12.9K
Tom Cotton
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $21K · Liquidity $12.1K
D. John Sauer
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $20K · Liquidity $12.7K
Ron DeSantis
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $18.8K · Liquidity $13K
Lawrence VanDyke
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $18.5K · Liquidity $13.4K
Britt Grant
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $18.2K · Liquidity $9.6K
Emil Bove
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $18K · Liquidity $13.7K
Kevin Newsom
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $17.5K · Liquidity $12.3K
Michael Park
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $17.2K · Liquidity $14.3K
Neomi Rao
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $16.6K · Liquidity $14.2K
Kathryn Mizelle
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $16.6K · Liquidity $12.3K
Barbara Lagoa
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $13.3K
Kristen Waggoner
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $15.2K · Liquidity $9.7K
Patrick Bumatay
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $15K · Liquidity $10.8K
Matthew Kacsmaryk
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $14.4K · Liquidity $11.2K
Kenneth Lee
- Yes2%
- No99%
Volume $14.2K · Liquidity $8.7K
Clint Bolick
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $13.9K · Liquidity $11K
David Stras
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $13.2K · Liquidity $10.7K
Allison Jones Rushing
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $13K · Liquidity $10.7K
Stuart Kyle Duncan
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $10.7K · Liquidity $7.3K
Allison Eid
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $10.4K · Liquidity $6.8K
Mark Martin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $10.3K · Liquidity $6.8K
Patrick Wyrick
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $10K · Liquidity $7.4K
Evan Young
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $9.9K · Liquidity $7.4K
Trevor McFadden
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $9.8K · Liquidity $6.1K
Kevin Brobson
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $9.1K · Liquidity $5.1K
Steven Menashi
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $6.5K · Liquidity $6.3K
Matthew Schwartz
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $5.1K
Eric Tung
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $4.1K
Yaakov Roth
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $333 · Liquidity $60
Anna St. John
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $322 · Liquidity $179
Mike Lee
Closed- Yes—
- No—
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If Amul Thapar is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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