Skip to content

Will the US create a national AI regulator?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $402.1 · Liquidity $2.1

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $29.6 · Liquidity $20.1

Resolution rules

If the United States agrees to or announces the establishment of a national AI regulator before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses