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When will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $865.9

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes34%
    • No66%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes56%
    • No45%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If federal legislation requiring serious AI-incident reporting has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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