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CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent

Markets

  • At least 50%

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $621.1

  • At least 52%

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • At least 54%

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • At least 56%

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 58%

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 60%

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 62%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 64%

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 66%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Derek Tran in the 2026 CA-45 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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