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CA-11 House election: Scott Wiener vote percent

Markets

  • At least 58%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $634.9 · Liquidity $634.9

  • At least 44%

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $270.5 · Liquidity $200

  • At least 60%

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • At least 46%

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 48%

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 50%

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 52%

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 54%

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 56%

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Scott Wiener in the 2026 CA-11 House election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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