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AR-04 House election: James Russell vote percent

Markets

  • At least 34%

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $400

  • At least 32%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • At least 24%

    • Yes97%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 26%

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 28%

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 30%

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 36%

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 38%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 40%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Russell in the 2026 AR-04 House election is 24% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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